"The Investor's Compass" Weekly Signals - 10/23/23
"You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don't understand that's going to happen, then you're not ready, you won't do well in the markets." — Peter Lynch
Trade of the Week
On October 18, 2023, we issued a Add/Initiate signal on Netflix (NFLX) at $346.19. It closed on 10/20/23 at $400.96 up 15.8%. On another trade, we issued a Sell on Plug Power (PLUG) at $7.72 on 10/17/23. The stock closed 10/20/23 at $6.10 down -21.0%
This isn't just a one-time win. It shows the real value of acting on a our signals. While we can't guarantee wins every time, our "Sentiment Index" rating is here to give you an edge. And remember, if you're not getting our daily updates, you might be missing out on opportunities like this one.
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Quote of the Week
Investment guru Peter Lynch once said, 'You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don't understand that's going to happen, then you're not ready, you won't do well in the markets.' That's why we built DynaLogic—to arm you with the insights you need to navigate market volatility. Whether it's recession indicators or stock market trends, our platform's real-time analytics ensure you're never caught off guard. With DynaLogic, you're not just ready—you're ahead.
Market Pulse
📈 A Tumultuous Week for Bond Yields and Equities 📉
This week saw a rollercoaster ride for both bond yields and equities. The 10-year Treasury yield hit a near 5% level, unseen since 2007, rattling markets and contributing to a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500. Bond yields are climbing due to a resilient U.S. economy, increased supply from the Treasury, and higher global interest rates. Experts suggest that while yields may overshoot in the near term, we should expect a settling into the 3.5% to 4.5% range over time.
Equities Feel the Heat
The equity market responded nervously to the bond yield spike, with the S&P 500 falling by over 2% this week. It marks the index’s fifth negative week out of the past seven. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ and Dow Jones also posted declines. This comes as third-quarter earnings seasons kick off to a subdued start, with expectations for net income scaled back slightly.
Fed Watch
The Federal Reserve maintains the option of another interest rate hike ahead, creating further tension in the bond market. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled the potential for rate stability in the near term, yet left the door open for hikes if economic data remains strong. This stance puts even more focus on the upcoming third-quarter GDP and PCE inflation data.
Retail Resilience and Gold's Glitter
U.S. retail sales rose 0.7% in September, far exceeding economists' expectations, signaling strong consumer spending. In a geopolitical twist, the price of gold rose by more than 3% this week to its highest level in five months, trading just below $2,000 per ounce.
Global Economies
China reported a surprising GDP growth rate of 4.9% year-over-year, beating most forecasts and adding another layer of complexity to the global economic outlook.
What This Means For Your Portfolio
Higher yields have implications for both equity and bond portfolios. As rates normalize, the better-valuation and higher-dividend parts of the market may become more appealing. Bonds may also offer better income and overall total return, making them a more meaningful part of portfolios.
In Case You Missed It
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The DynaLogic strategy is always buying into weakness so it is highly possible the underlying security will continue to decline; however, we believe “Buying on Weakness” is the right strategy to follow in the long run, even if it doesn’t pan out in every instance (no strategy does).
The DynaLogic signals help you know WHEN TO SELL and WHEN TO ADD to the stocks you own or are considering for purchase. Unlike other services, we don’t attempt to recommend stocks or predict what future prices will be. Our Add/Initiate and Sell signals are based solely on historical price movement and pre-established price targets.
Understanding when to buy or sell in the market can be tricky, and our emotions can lead even experienced investors to make poor decisions. With DynaLogic, you get a more straightforward approach. Instead of trying to guess the best time to act, our system tells you clearly. We have a planned way to help you take some profits, letting you spread out and protect your investments, while also alerting you to opportune moments to add to or start a position.
Why use DynaLogic? Our system helps you use the market's ups and downs to your benefit. When a stock goes up and we suggest selling some of it, it's because that's how our system is set up. We help you sell in parts, so you can keep investing over time and take out profits in a planned way. This means less guesswork and fewer regrets. When a stock goes down, we alert you to opportune moments to add to your position, or open a position in a stock you’ve been following.
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I've been following DynaLogic for a while now. It’s an invaluable tool to use as part of my investing strategy. I find it’s difficult for me to sell stocks when they are rising, only to kick myself when I didn't take gains if it drops down the road. So many publications focus on telling you what stocks to buy but I haven't found anything like this that alerts you when to sell which is really helpful when you can't monitor all your stocks all the time. I've also had some really nice gains off the buy signals too. - Kevin F.
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