"The Investor's Compass" Weekly Signals - 11/20/23
"The only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune-tellers look good." — Warren Buffett
Broad markets continued their march higher helped by cooling inflation numbers for both the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index. The Dow up 1.87% on the week, the S&P higher by 2.31%, and the Nasdaq higher by 2.02% for the week. Treasury yields were lower with the 10 YR off 21 basis points and gold was higher by 2.32%.
Trades of the Week
Sells
Add/Initiate
Highlights
ETHE-Grayscale Euthereum Trust
Euthereum has been on a tear up 231%. Our sell signal was initiated at the close on 11/13/23 where the stock closed at $17.45 which was the high for the year. This sell signal allowed our subscribers to book some significant gains before the selloff.
PTON-Peloton Interactive, Inc.
PTON stock has been on a roller coater ride year year to date and is down -32% since the beginning of the year. The stock was in an oversold position and our Add/Initiate signal caught the bottom at $4.44 on 11/13/23 giving our subscribers a 24% gain through 11/17
These examples highlight the core strengths of DynaLogic:
Timely Predictions: Our system's ability to forecast stock movements ahead of time can be a game-changer for investors looking to maximize gains and minimize losses.
Balanced Portfolio Management: By offering signals on both ends of the spectrum - sell and add/initiate - we help our subscribers maintain a balanced and diversified portfolio.
In essence, DynaLogic isn't just about following market trends; it's about staying a step ahead. Our recent signals on ETHE, AFRM, GBTC, TSCO, and more on the Sell side and PTON, UPST, PLUG,MAG, and GME exemplify how our insights can lead to informed decisions, yielding tangible benefits for our subscribers.
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Quote of the Week
"The only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune-tellers look good." — Warren Buffett
Connection to DynaLogic's Philosophy: Buffett's skepticism about stock forecasting underlines the core of DynaLogic's philosophy - reliance on solid data and trends over speculative predictions:
Data Over Speculation: DynaLogic's algorithms are grounded in real-time data and historical trends, moving beyond mere speculation to provide reliable insights.
Adaptive Strategies: Understanding that the market is unpredictable, DynaLogic's system is designed to adapt and evolve with changing market conditions.
Empowering Investors: By providing tools that focus on concrete data and trends, DynaLogic empowers its users to make decisions based on substance rather than conjecture.
With DynaLogic, investors get a realistic, data-driven approach to navigate the stock market, embracing Buffett's wisdom to look beyond unreliable forecasts.
Market Pulse
📈 Market Resilience: Three Weeks of Rising Fortunes 📉
Market Recap:
Steady Climb: The past week saw U.S. stock indexes, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow, consistently advance, each marking over 2% in total returns. Smaller stocks outperformed, with the Russell 2000 Index leaping by over 5%.
Cooling Inflation: A key highlight was the easing inflation rates in October. Core inflation rose at its slowest yearly rate since September 2021 at 4.0%, slightly below expectations. The overall inflation figure, incorporating food and energy, stood at 3.2%.
Tuesday's Rally: Sparked by the encouraging inflation report, Tuesday witnessed significant gains across various indexes: NASDAQ rose 2.4%, S&P 500 increased by 1.9%, and the Russell 2000 surged 5.4%.
Yield Shifts: Following the inflation report, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield experienced its most significant single-day drop in eight months, closing Tuesday at 4.44%, down from 4.63% the day before.
Oil Price Fluctuations: Oil prices experienced their fourth consecutive weekly fall amidst increasing U.S. crude inventories, with the price fluctuating notably throughout the week.
Retail Spending Dips: In a pre-holiday season adjustment, U.S. retail sales slightly declined by 0.1% in October compared to a year earlier, marking the first drop in seven months.
China's Economic Uptick: China reported a rise in industrial output and retail sales for October, signaling a gradual recovery post the easing of pandemic restrictions.
Market Volatility Eases: The Cboe Volatility Index, a measure of market uncertainty, continued its downward trend for the fourth consecutive week, indicating a calmer market environment.
The Week Ahead (November 20-24):
Economic Indicators: The upcoming week includes the release of The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index for the U.S., and minutes from the recent Federal Reserve meeting.
Real Estate and Consumer Data: Reports on existing home sales and the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment are due, providing insights into the housing market and consumer outlook.
Thanksgiving Week: U.S. financial markets will be closed for Thanksgiving, followed by an early close on Black Friday, a crucial day for retail sector performance insights.
Additional Reports: Additional data releases include durable goods orders and weekly unemployment claims, offering further clues on the economic trajectory as 2023 draws to a close.
The DynaLogic signals help you know WHEN TO SELL and WHEN TO ADD to the stocks you own or are considering for purchase. Unlike other services, we don’t attempt to recommend stocks or predict what future prices will be. Our Add/Initiate and Sell signals are based solely on historical price movement and pre-established price targets.
Understanding when to buy or sell in the market can be tricky, and our emotions can lead even experienced investors to make poor decisions. With DynaLogic, you get a more straightforward approach. Instead of trying to guess the best time to act, our system tells you clearly. We have a planned way to help you take some profits, letting you spread out and protect your investments, while also alerting you to opportune moments to add to or start a position.
Why use DynaLogic? Our system helps you use the market's ups and downs to your benefit. When a stock goes up and we suggest selling some of it, it's because that's how our system is set up. We help you sell in parts, so you can keep investing over time and take out profits in a planned way. This means less guesswork and fewer regrets. When a stock goes down, we alert you to opportune moments to add to your position, or open a position in a stock you’ve been following.
Here's the promise: Follow the system, detach from the market noise, and witness long-term profitability. We've got the case studies to prove it.
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"DynaLogic doesn’t predict the future; it prepares you for it!"
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Testimonials
The signals come through and overpower my idea of what I *think* I should do regarding my investments.
It is cold, factual and driven by data - quite the opposite of my Extroverted Feeler diagnosis by the Insights Discovery test. Actual quote: "He may jump to conclusions without gathering all the necessary information or taking the time to really understand the situation."
With work and family, taking the time to gather the necessary information about my investments is extremely difficult so I need to find my opposite personality type, "the observer" and have done so with Dynalogic. - Jamie G.
I've been following DynaLogic for a while now. It’s an invaluable tool to use as part of my investing strategy. I find it’s difficult for me to sell stocks when they are rising, only to kick myself when I didn't take gains if it drops down the road. So many publications focus on telling you what stocks to buy but I haven't found anything like this that alerts you when to sell which is really helpful when you can't monitor all your stocks all the time. I've also had some really nice gains off the buy signals too. - Kevin F.
The predetermined buy and sell signals built into the strategy make life easier and a more efficient use of time as the signals take the emotion out of the equation. Terry S.
I've been using DynaLogic for 6 months now. I've already seen a big impact and it's provided me a roadmap for sound decision making. The best part... I am not one that is trying to make the decisions. I've spent far too many years guessing what to do with my investments based on what feels right. This lays it all out in a simple way and tells me when and how to make decisions. Wesley L.
After reading, then sleeping on it, then rereading, the mathematics make good sense. Thanks for saving me from my emotions 🙂 – Dale R
I've been following for a while and just observing, I've missed out on major increases, while losing 20% trading on my emotions, I could've tripled that amount in gains if I followed your signals!
It's a no Brainer to sign up...I'm excited to see where this leads.
Now I can focus on increasing my income while following your trade signals. Tim O.
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